New Buffalo leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 87% of adults in New Buffalo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Buffalo, ~36% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Buffalo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Buffalo leans more Republican than 15 of 117 neighbors.
New Buffalo runs about 6 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why New Buffalo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Buffalo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in New Buffalo drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as New Buffalo, OH does.
Why turnout in New Buffalo looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Buffalo is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in New Buffalo have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Boardman, OH R+4
- Paradise, OH R+34
- Canfield, OH R+22
- North Lima, OH R+31
- Marquis, OH R+31
- Poland, OH R+13
- Youngstown, OH D+24
- Locust Grove, OH R+50
- Austintown, OH R+4
- Struthers, OH R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Piper, PA R+63
- Vincent, IA R+43
- Latch, TX R+76
- Refuge, MS R+34
- Pope Air Force Base, NC R+12
- Franklin, AR R+66
- Fosterburg, IL R+42
- Jackson, NE R+54
- Terry, LA R+79
- Westboro, OH R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.