Refuge leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Refuge typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Refuge, ~19% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Refuge compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Refuge leans more Republican than 42 of 56 neighbors.
Refuge runs about 11 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Refuge. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+75), a spread of about 86 points.
Why Refuge leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Refuge. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Refuge, MS does.
Why turnout in Refuge looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Refuge is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 10%, about 50 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Refuge rent, compared to around 22% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Refuge report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Swiftwater, MS R+18
- Greenville, MS D+57
- Wayside, MS R+75
- Luna, AR R+66
- Avon, MS R+75
- James, MS R+73
- Lake Village, AR R+11
- Winterville, MS R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Piper, PA R+63
- Latch, TX R+76
- Franklin, AR R+66
- Pope Air Force Base, NC R+12
- Granite Canon, WY R+54
- Exline, IA R+57
- Tacna, AZ R+52
- Jackson, NE R+54
- River aux Vases, MO R+60
- Long Branch, PA R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.