New Hartford is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 78% of adults in New Hartford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hartford, ~11% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hartford is the most Republican-leaning.
New Hartford runs about 54 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why New Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. New Hartford sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the Missouri average of 87%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in New Hartford are family households, above 97% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; New Hartford, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in New Hartford looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in New Hartford have completed high school, about 9 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Marling, MO R+70
- Louisville, MO R+69
- Farmer, MO R+71
- Middletown, MO R+69
- St. Clement, MO R+69
- Olney, MO R+64
- Gazette, MO R+71
- Cyrene, MO R+70
- Bowling Green, MO R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Columbia Center, NY R+52
- Stet, MO R+65
- Little Browning, MT D+71
- Standard, CA R+26
- Pitt Gas, PA R+42
- Pharsalia, NY R+48
- Garland, MO R+65
- Hedge City, MO R+73
- Branyan, MS R+84
- Hazle Township, PA R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.