New Hope is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 69% of adults in New Hope typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hope, ~13% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hope leans more Republican than 40 of 76 neighbors.
New Hope runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why New Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In New Hope, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; New Hope, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Hope looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in New Hope own their home, about 13 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Howardstown, KY R+61
- Gethsemane, KY R+61
- St. Francis, KY R+62
- New Haven, KY R+59
- Raywick, KY R+67
- Holy Cross, KY R+61
- Loretto, KY R+62
- Nerinx, KY R+64
- Culvertown, KY R+58
- St. Joseph, KY R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shuqualak, MS D+43
- East Conemaugh, PA R+24
- Walthill, NE D+24
- Eolia, MO R+60
- Ellport, PA R+24
- Worthington, MA D+26
- Red Cloud, NE R+67
- Dilliner, PA R+51
- Hanalei, HI D+17
- Figsboro, VA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.