New Madrid leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 76% of adults in New Madrid typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Madrid, ~26% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Madrid compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Madrid leans more Republican than 6 of 58 neighbors.
New Madrid runs about 14 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Madrid. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+67), a spread of about 96 points.
Why New Madrid leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Madrid, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in New Madrid drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; New Madrid, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New Madrid looks the way it does
Turnout in New Madrid sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Howardville, MO R+27
- Lilbourn, MO R+26
- North Lilbourn, MO R+17
- La Forge, MO R+68
- Kewanee, MO R+68
- Marston, MO R+39
- Matthews, MO R+69
- Catron, MO R+61
- Jaywye, MO R+61
- Charter Oak, MO R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gloucester Courthouse, VA R+30
- Millerstown, PA R+56
- Afton, VA R+8
- Jellico, TN R+59
- Wapello, IA R+39
- Montrose, PA R+40
- Summerford, OH R+25
- Reese, MI R+41
- Harborcreek, PA R+19
- Tracy City, TN R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.