Lilbourn leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Lilbourn typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lilbourn, ~26% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lilbourn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lilbourn leans more Republican than 3 of 64 neighbors.
Lilbourn runs about 8 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lilbourn. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Lilbourn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lilbourn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Lilbourn hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lilbourn, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lilbourn looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Lilbourn sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Lilbourn, MO R+17
- Howardville, MO R+27
- New Madrid, MO R+32
- Marston, MO R+39
- Kewanee, MO R+68
- Catron, MO R+61
- La Forge, MO R+68
- Jaywye, MO R+61
- Charter Oak, MO R+73
- Risco, MO R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Millersville, MO R+70
- Ulster, PA R+60
- Jessieville, AR R+47
- Whitaker, PA D+10
- Wishek, ND R+59
- Leesburg, TX R+62
- Overisel, MI R+45
- Sangerville, ME R+38
- Parks, AZ R+44
- Ellsworth, PA R+29
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.