New Sweden leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 73% of adults in New Sweden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Sweden, ~46% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Sweden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Sweden leans more Democratic than 42 of 49 neighbors.
New Sweden runs about 40 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while New Sweden is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Sweden. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+34) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 33 points.
Why New Sweden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Sweden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in New Sweden hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in New Sweden is about 25%, about 48 points below the U.S. average of 72%. New Sweden runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; New Sweden, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in New Sweden looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in New Sweden have completed high school, about 10 points above the Texas average of 86%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and New Sweden sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manor, TX D+30
- Manda, TX D+4
- Pflugerville, TX D+28
- Coupland, TX R+28
- Hutto, TX Even
- Wells Branch, TX D+36
- Rices Crossing, TX R+54
- Lund, TX R+15
- Round Rock, TX D+11
- Elgin, TX R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bond, MS R+31
- Jackson, TX R+82
- Pryorsburg, KY R+66
- Old Jenny Lind, AR R+59
- Green Hill, NC R+49
- Kingston, WI R+51
- Valhermoso Springs, AL R+62
- Frontenac, NY R+32
- Riggins, ID R+65
- Mantua Center, OH R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.