Frontenac leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Frontenac typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Frontenac, ~24% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Frontenac compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Frontenac leans more Republican than 28 of 51 neighbors.
Frontenac runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Frontenac is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Frontenac. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Frontenac leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Frontenac, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Frontenac drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Frontenac runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Frontenac, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Frontenac looks the way it does
Turnout in Frontenac sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clayton, NY R+12
- Depauville, NY R+40
- Millen Bay, NY R+17
- Fishers Landing, NY R+35
- La Fargeville, NY R+46
- Herrick Grove, NY R+28
- Omar, NY R+47
- Stone Mills, NY R+47
- Chaumont, NY R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bond, MS R+31
- New Sweden, TX D+27
- Spokeville, WI R+53
- Preston, MO R+68
- Valhermoso Springs, AL R+62
- Bremen, ME D+23
- Mantua Center, OH R+42
- La Anna, PA R+13
- Jackson, TX R+82
- Old Jenny Lind, AR R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.