New York leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 59% of adults in the New York area typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in the New York area, ~35% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New York compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New York leans more Democratic than 228 of 311 neighbors.
New York runs about 9 points more Democratic than New York State as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New York. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+40) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 43 points.
Why New York leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New York, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 91% of residents in the New York area live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and New York sits in the top quarter (about 43%, above 90% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in the New York area have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; New York, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New York looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 47% of households in the New York area rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in the New York area have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hoboken, NJ D+41
- Jersey City, NJ D+46
- Weehawken, NJ D+36
- Union City, NJ D+14
- Manhattan, NY D+62
- Brooklyn, NY D+34
- West New York, NJ D+12
- Guttenberg, NJ D+20
- North Bergen, NJ D+6
- Secaucus, NJ D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Los Angeles, CA D+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.