Oak Grove is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Oak Grove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Grove, ~27% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Grove compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oak Grove sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 9 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 11 leaning the other way.
Oak Grove runs about 17 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Oak Grove. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Oak Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Oak Grove, about 80% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, below 66% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oak Grove, Springfield, MO sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Oak Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bingham, Springfield, MO R+3
- Southern Hills, Springfield, MO Even
- Southeast Springfield, Springfield, MO Even
- Rountree, Springfield, MO D+41
- Phelps, Springfield, MO D+31
- Webster Park-Shady Dell, Springfield, MO R+27
- Meador Park, Springfield, MO R+5
- Weller, Springfield, MO D+8
- Bradford Park, Springfield, MO R+3
- Seminole Holland, Springfield, MO R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Chief Garry Park, Spokane, WA D+12
- Wildhorse, San Antonio, TX D+2
- Lower Beaver, Des Moines, IA D+23
- Indian Hill, Chicago Heights, IL D+53
- North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND D+7
- West End Theatre District, Allentown, PA D+26
- Van Steuban, Detroit, MI D+84
- Rum Village, South Bend, IN D+29
- Brighton, Syracuse, NY D+78
- Downtown Norfolk, Norfolk, VA D+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.