Oak Point leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Oak Point typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Point, ~28% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Point leans more Republican than 29 of 66 neighbors.
Oak Point runs about 9 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Point. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Oak Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Point votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 39%, above 84% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Oak Point, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oak Point looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Point is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cross Roads, TX R+14
- Shady Shores, TX R+37
- Lakewood Village, TX R+25
- Little Elm, TX D+3
- Lake Dallas, TX R+21
- Aubrey, TX R+12
- Hackberry, TX R+3
- Lincoln Park, TX R+5
- Hickory Creek, TX R+29
- Corinth, TX R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cross Plains, TN R+58
- Bridgman, MI R+20
- Oasis, CA D+25
- Cokato, MN R+42
- Coopertown, TN R+63
- Horton, AL R+80
- Milner, GA R+64
- Crivitz, WI R+41
- North Muskegon, MI Even
- Josephine, TX R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.