Oakville leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Oakville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oakville, ~23% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oakville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oakville leans more Republican than 23 of 83 neighbors.
Oakville runs about 49 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Oakville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oakville. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+54), a spread of about 91 points.
Why Oakville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oakville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oakville votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Oakville runs about 49 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Oakville, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Oakville looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 25% of adults in Oakville report food insecurity, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Oakville sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Siloam, MD R+23
- Palmetto, MD D+29
- Indiantown, MD R+40
- Princess Anne, MD D+32
- Eden, MD R+11
- Fruitland, MD D+13
- Westover, MD R+4
- Allen, MD R+10
- Pocomoke City, MD D+8
- Scarboro, MD R+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Palmer, KY R+65
- Wishram, WA R+39
- Williston, NY R+42
- Rabbit Hill, GA R+40
- Hailstone, UT R+19
- Hagensville, MI R+47
- Coventryville, NY R+39
- Rock Springs, MD R+53
- Fellows, CA R+80
- Holum, LA R+95
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.