Scarboro is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Scarboro typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scarboro, ~38% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scarboro compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scarboro sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 62 leaning the other way.
Scarboro runs about 31 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Scarboro sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scarboro. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+54), a spread of about 78 points.
Why Scarboro leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scarboro, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Scarboro votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Scarboro runs about 31 points more Republican.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Scarboro, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Scarboro looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Scarboro is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 56%). Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Snow Hill, MD Even
- Whiteburg, MD Even
- Girdletree, MD R+32
- Indiantown, MD R+40
- Goodwill, MD R+35
- Stockton, MD R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clopton, AL R+38
- Reamstown, PA R+40
- Tallulah Falls, GA R+63
- Leonore, IL R+44
- Sugar Valley, OH R+61
- Carthage, AR R+3
- Kenvir, KY R+83
- Rocky Hill, AL R+44
- McLeod, LA R+81
- Hamburg, LA R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.