Octa is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Octa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Octa, ~7% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Octa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Octa leans more Republican than 60 of 82 neighbors.
Octa runs about 55 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Octa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Octa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Octa drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Octa, MO does.
Why turnout in Octa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Octa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 10 points below the Missouri average of 57%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Octa report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Octa have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scobeville, MO R+75
- Senath, MO R+61
- Kennett, MO R+38
- Leonard, AR R+67
- Tinkerville, MO R+59
- Nimmons, AR R+67
- Hornersville, MO R+64
- Hollywood, MO R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ollie, MT R+78
- Joyland, AR R+75
- Buckeye, IA R+47
- Hillsview, SD R+68
- New Somerset, OH R+63
- Marshall, OH R+65
- Roscoe, MO R+67
- Delaplaine, AR R+69
- Tunnel Springs, AL D+11
- Henderson Grove, IL R+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.