Tinkerville is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Tinkerville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tinkerville, ~13% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tinkerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tinkerville leans more Republican than 13 of 75 neighbors.
Tinkerville runs about 41 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tinkerville. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Tinkerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tinkerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Tinkerville hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Tinkerville runs against that pattern.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tinkerville, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tinkerville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tinkerville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kennett, MO R+38
- Scobeville, MO R+75
- Whiteoak, MO R+75
- Gobler, MO R+70
- Bragg City, MO R+70
- Nimmons, AR R+67
- Octa, MO R+73
- Peach Orchard, MO R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kingston, KY R+54
- Overly, ND R+41
- Sunset, AZ R+67
- Otselic Center, NY R+52
- Balfour, ND R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.