Octagon leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Octagon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Octagon, ~38% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Octagon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Octagon leans more Democratic than 39 of 56 neighbors.
Octagon runs about 47 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole. Alabama leans Republican overall, while Octagon is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Octagon. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Octagon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Octagon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 73% of residents in Octagon are Black or African American, about 49 points above the Alabama average of 24%. Octagon runs against the grain of Alabama, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Octagon, AL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Octagon looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Octagon sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miller, AL D+18
- Linden, AL R+7
- Magnolia, AL D+15
- Nanafalia, AL R+5
- Thomaston, AL D+21
- Providence, AL R+19
- Dixons Mills, AL D+38
- Sweet Water, AL R+9
- Dayton, AL D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gholsonville, VA R+10
- Spires, IL R+55
- Mance, PA R+72
- Lowland, NC R+38
- Marrtown, ME D+16
- Deckers Point, PA R+67
- Centertown, PA R+51
- Long Branch, IL R+62
- Snap, KY R+63
- Rocky Branch, TX R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.