Magnolia, AL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Magnolia

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Magnolia leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 63% of adults in Magnolia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia, ~36% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Magnolia compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Magnolia leans more Democratic than 34 of 55 neighbors.

Magnolia runs about 45 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole. Alabama leans Republican overall, while Magnolia is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Magnolia. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Magnolia leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 73% of residents in Magnolia are Black or African American, about 50 points above the Alabama average of 24%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Magnolia have never been married, above 91% of cities. Magnolia runs against the grain of Alabama, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Magnolia, AL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Magnolia looks the way it does

Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Magnolia sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.