Orange City leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Orange City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange City, ~27% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orange City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orange City leans more Republican than 23 of 52 neighbors.
Orange City runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orange City. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Orange City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orange City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Orange City, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Orange City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Orange City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- DeBary, FL R+24
- Lake Helen, FL R+38
- West DeLand, FL R+28
- Deltona, FL R+13
- DeLand, FL R+19
- Fatio, FL R+63
- Crows Bluff, FL R+48
- Sanford, FL D+9
- Osteen, FL R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blue Island, IL D+46
- Ada, OK R+32
- Capitol Heights, MD D+85
- Carthage, MO R+40
- Ridgefield, WA R+5
- Alta Loma, CA R+14
- Portsmouth, NH D+39
- Stony Brook, NY D+23
- Lebanon, MO R+55
- Kilgore, TX R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.