Orangevale leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Orangevale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orangevale, ~34% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orangevale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orangevale leans more Republican than 24 of 65 neighbors.
Orangevale runs about 30 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Orangevale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orangevale. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+23) and the southeast side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Orangevale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orangevale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orangevale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Orangevale runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Orangevale, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Orangevale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orangevale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fair Oaks, CA D+6
- Citrus Heights, CA R+3
- Gold River, CA D+16
- Folsom, CA D+9
- Granite Bay, CA R+11
- Carmichael, CA D+11
- Foothill Farms, CA D+2
- Roseville, CA R+5
- Rancho Cordova, CA D+10
- North Highlands, CA D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sonoma, CA D+48
- Bixby, OK R+23
- Litchfield Park, AZ R+9
- West Odessa, TX R+46
- Spring Valley, CA D+11
- Liberty, MO R+13
- Des Moines, WA D+31
- Pueblo West, CO R+28
- Tifton, GA R+12
- Santa Paula, CA D+21
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.