Orchard Farm is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Orchard Farm typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard Farm, ~15% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchard Farm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orchard Farm leans more Republican than 148 of 154 neighbors.
Orchard Farm runs about 39 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Orchard Farm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orchard Farm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Orchard Farm hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Orchard Farm, MO sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Orchard Farm looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Orchard Farm own their home, about 17 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Shore, MO R+54
- Deer Plain, IL R+52
- Kampville, MO R+43
- Portage Des Sioux, MO R+56
- Grafton, IL R+39
- Elsah, IL R+32
- Golden Eagle, IL R+53
- Brussels, IL R+53
- Hazelwood, MO D+37
- St. Charles, MO R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zoar, NY R+42
- Bowman, IN R+61
- Lansing, WV R+59
- Tecolote, NM D+17
- Tarnov, NE R+80
- Saluda, IN R+62
- Dunreith, IN R+58
- Valeria, KY R+61
- Borup, MN R+29
- Lincoln, UT R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.