Tarnov is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Tarnov typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tarnov, ~10% vote Democratic, ~88% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tarnov compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tarnov leans more Republican than 20 of 22 neighbors.
Tarnov runs about 60 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Why Tarnov leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tarnov. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Tarnov, NE sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Tarnov looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tarnov is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Tarnov have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Humphrey, NE R+79
- Platte Center, NE R+69
- Cornlea, NE R+79
- Creston, NE R+80
- Monroe, NE R+65
- St. Bernard, NE R+75
- Lindsay, NE R+82
- Rosenburg, NE R+82
- Columbus, NE R+42
- Leigh, NE R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zoar, NY R+42
- Sheyenne, ND R+49
- Powelton, GA D+30
- Orchard Farm, MO R+57
- McIntyre, LA R+44
- Clymers, IN R+54
- Inez, PA R+61
- Biardstown, TX R+45
- Berthaville, VA R+20
- Spring Glen, NY R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.