Overly, ND Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Overly

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Overly leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.

 

About 62% of adults in Overly typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Overly, ~19% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Overly compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Overly leans more Republican than 12 of 21 neighbors.

Overly runs about 4 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Overly. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 27 points.

Why Overly leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Overly, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Overly live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the North Dakota average of 12%.

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Overly, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Overly looks the way it does

Turnout in Overly sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.