Willow City is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Willow City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willow City, ~16% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willow City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willow City leans more Republican than 10 of 16 neighbors.
Willow City runs about 16 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Willow City. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Willow City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Willow City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Willow City, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Willow City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Willow City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Overly, ND R+41
- Barton, ND R+58
- Gardena, ND R+56
- Bantry, ND R+66
- Kramer, ND R+59
- Bottineau, ND R+43
- Towner, ND R+64
- San Haven, ND D+38
- Thorne, ND R+8
- Upham, ND R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kelly, WY D+17
- Lithium, MO R+69
- Scipio, KS R+62
- Ricetown, KY R+75
- Frew, KY R+70
- Basco, IL R+63
- South Russell, NY R+43
- Lowryville, TN R+78
- Lucien, OK R+67
- Old Lawton, TN R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.