Paauilo, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Paauilo

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Paauilo leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Paauilo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paauilo, ~36% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Paauilo compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Paauilo leans more Democratic than 6 of 19 neighbors.

Paauilo runs about 5 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paauilo. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Paauilo leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paauilo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Paauilo have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 25%).

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Paauilo, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Paauilo looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 20% of adults in Paauilo report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.