Pagosa Junction leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Pagosa Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pagosa Junction, ~27% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pagosa Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pagosa Junction leans more Republican than 10 of 14 neighbors.
Pagosa Junction runs about 42 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Pagosa Junction is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Pagosa Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pagosa Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pagosa Junction votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Pagosa Junction runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Pagosa Junction sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 97% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Pagosa Junction, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pagosa Junction looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Pagosa Junction own their home, about 18 points above the Colorado average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arboles, CO R+31
- Chimney Rock, CO R+22
- Piedra, CO R+28
- Tiffany, CO R+38
- Dulce, NM D+36
- Nutria, CO R+19
- Pagosa Springs, CO R+12
- Trujillo, CO R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mineral Hills, MI R+25
- Madding, AR R+41
- Weston, GA D+32
- Shotley, MN R+31
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.