Paige leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Paige typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paige, ~26% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paige compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paige leans more Republican than 33 of 84 neighbors.
Paige runs about 22 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Paige is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paige. The east side is the most split-leaning (R+21) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Paige leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paige, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in Paige are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Paige runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Paige, VA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Paige looks the way it does
Turnout in Paige sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Washington Corner, VA R+23
- Bowling Green, VA R+23
- Welchs, VA R+15
- Milford, VA R+21
- Woodford, VA R+25
- Guinea, VA R+21
- Corbin, VA R+24
- DeJarnett, VA R+29
- Kidds Fork, VA R+7
- Penola, VA R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Bethel, TN R+64
- North Washington, CO Even
- Newdale, ID R+64
- Grand Detour, IL R+34
- Gilman City, MO R+72
- Herbert Springs, MS R+85
- New Village, NJ R+34
- Terra Ceia, NC R+47
- Pickens, TX R+70
- McHue, AR R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.