Welchs leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Welchs typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Welchs, ~24% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Welchs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Welchs leans more Republican than 24 of 76 neighbors.
Welchs runs about 21 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Welchs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Welchs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Welchs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Welchs live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the Virginia average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Welchs are family households, above 95% of cities. Welchs runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Welchs, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Welchs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Welchs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Welchs report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodford, VA R+25
- Guinea, VA R+21
- Washington Corner, VA R+23
- Paige, VA R+17
- Thornburg, VA R+26
- Nancy Wrights Corner, VA R+47
- Ladysmith, VA R+10
- Corbin, VA R+24
- Ruther Glen, VA R+11
- Bowling Green, VA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nimrod, TX R+78
- Youngsville, NM D+7
- Locust Hill, KY R+66
- Upalco, UT R+90
- Gonce, AL R+73
- Browns, AL D+36
- Stouchsburg, PA R+49
- Big Sandy, WV R+76
- Pawelekville, TX R+69
- Cannelville, OH R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.