Paintersville leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Paintersville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paintersville, ~19% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paintersville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paintersville leans more Republican than 31 of 50 neighbors.
Paintersville runs about 29 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Paintersville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paintersville. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+15) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Paintersville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paintersville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Paintersville live in densely developed areas, about 54 points below the California average of 58%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Paintersville are family households, above 83% of cities. Paintersville runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Paintersville, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Paintersville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 53% of households in Paintersville rent, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 13% of homes in Paintersville have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Courtland, CA R+5
- Vorden, CA R+15
- Hood, CA R+3
- Ryde, CA R+5
- Walnut Grove, CA R+7
- Howard Landing, CA D+12
- Clarksburg, CA R+9
- Walker Landing, CA Even
- Locke, CA R+25
- Thornton, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alpha, IA R+44
- North Jackson, PA R+46
- Swinton, MO R+72
- Dundee, KS R+67
- Harrison, MT R+60
- Lake Hill, NY D+75
- Howardville, MO R+27
- McComas, WV R+68
- Lakewood, PA R+45
- Mount Laurel, PA R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.