Walnut Grove leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Walnut Grove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Grove, ~20% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Grove leans more Republican than 28 of 55 neighbors.
Walnut Grove runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Walnut Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Walnut Grove. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Walnut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Walnut Grove live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the California average of 58%. Walnut Grove runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Walnut Grove, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Walnut Grove looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 47% of households in Walnut Grove rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Walnut Grove sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 14% of homes in Walnut Grove have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ryde, CA R+5
- Walker Landing, CA Even
- Vorden, CA R+15
- Locke, CA R+25
- Howard Landing, CA D+12
- Courtland, CA R+5
- Paintersville, CA R+9
- Thornton, CA R+26
- Isleton, CA R+13
- Hood, CA R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sonora, KY R+65
- Wheeler, TX R+64
- Farmersburg, IN R+54
- Langston, OK D+19
- Cavalier, ND R+47
- Haiku, HI D+15
- Elora, TN R+77
- Sleepy Hollow, CA D+55
- Wayne, OH R+45
- Rosholt, WI R+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.