Paisley is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Paisley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paisley, ~9% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paisley compares
Paisley sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable cities nearby.
Paisley runs about 86 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Paisley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Paisley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paisley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Paisley votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Paisley runs about 86 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Paisley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 98% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Paisley, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Paisley looks the way it does
Turnout in Paisley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Summer Lake, OR R+70
- Valley Falls, OR R+72
- Bly, OR R+60
- New Idaho, OR R+73
- Lakeview, OR R+54
- Beatty, OR R+44
- Silver Lake, OR R+65
- West Side, OR R+70
- Christmas Valley, OR R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cherryville, MO R+67
- Mount Pleasant, WV R+41
- Mount Gilead, TN R+64
- Mount Erie, IL R+75
- Risco, MO R+74
- Low Hampton, NY R+43
- East Boxford, MA D+5
- Bristol, SD R+40
- Winchester, OK R+63
- Summit, SC R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.