Christmas Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Christmas Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Christmas Valley, ~11% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Christmas Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Christmas Valley leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Christmas Valley runs about 80 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Christmas Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Christmas Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Christmas Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Christmas Valley votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Christmas Valley runs about 80 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Christmas Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 93% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Christmas Valley sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Christmas Valley, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Christmas Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Christmas Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Silver Lake, OR R+65
- Fort Rock, OR R+67
- Summer Lake, OR R+70
- Hampton, OR R+39
- Paisley, OR R+71
- Brothers, OR R+43
- Gilchrist, OR R+48
- La Pine, OR R+30
- Deschutes, OR R+24
- Riley, OR R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buncombe, IL R+58
- Grays Chapel, NC R+63
- Chalmers, IN R+52
- Gleneden Beach, OR D+17
- Left Hand, WV R+61
- Champion, MI R+19
- West Sumpter, MI R+17
- Stevenson, MD D+40
- Cummington, MA D+36
- Kelly, LA R+93
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.