Palmdale is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Palmdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palmdale, ~12% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palmdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palmdale is the most Republican-leaning.
Palmdale runs about 52 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palmdale. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+57), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Palmdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palmdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Palmdale live in densely developed areas, about 54 points below the Florida average of 57%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Palmdale sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Palmdale are family households, above 83% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Palmdale, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Palmdale looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Palmdale own their home, about 24 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Palmdale sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Labelle, FL R+41
- Port Labelle, FL R+36
- Venus, FL R+64
- Pioneer, FL R+61
- Moore Haven, FL R+38
- Alva, FL R+46
- Felda, FL R+64
- Lakeport, FL R+28
- Fort Myers Shores, FL R+25
- Lehigh Acres, FL R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mason, NH R+13
- Fir Villa, OR R+23
- Melrose, IA R+51
- Mystic, IA R+51
- Cummings, CA D+35
- Eglon, KY R+71
- Wendell, MA D+20
- Marquette, WI R+44
- Spurgeon, IN R+53
- Pine Hill, KY R+75
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.