Fort Myers Shores leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Fort Myers Shores typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fort Myers Shores, ~25% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fort Myers Shores compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fort Myers Shores leans more Republican than 9 of 24 neighbors.
Fort Myers Shores runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fort Myers Shores. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Fort Myers Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fort Myers Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fort Myers Shores votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 77%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Fort Myers Shores, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Fort Myers Shores looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fort Myers Shores is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alva, FL R+46
- Lehigh Acres, FL R+6
- Gateway, FL R+21
- North Fort Myers, FL R+31
- Fort Myers, FL R+19
- Whiskey Creek, FL R+22
- Villas, FL R+13
- McGregor, FL R+21
- Cypress Lake, FL R+19
- Cape Coral, FL R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Newbern, TN R+62
- Loogootee, IN R+60
- Maysville, GA R+76
- Battlefield, MO R+32
- Lamar, MO R+60
- Bristol, WI R+23
- Kenova, WV R+46
- Moosic, PA R+5
- Lancaster, MA D+11
- Nettleton, MS R+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.