Gurn Spring leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Gurn Spring typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gurn Spring, ~39% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gurn Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gurn Spring leans more Republican than 26 of 102 neighbors.
Gurn Spring runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Gurn Spring is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gurn Spring. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Gurn Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gurn Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gurn Spring votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Gurn Spring runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gurn Spring, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Gurn Spring looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gurn Spring is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gansevoort, NY R+5
- Kings Station, NY D+5
- Fort Miller, NY R+27
- Randall Corner, NY R+32
- Saratoga Springs, NY D+23
- Schuylerville, NY R+15
- Greenfield Center, NY R+7
- Palmer, NY R+34
- Victory, NY R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rudyard, MT R+55
- Wallops Island, VA R+16
- Hanley, IA R+44
- Vanderbilt, TX R+74
- Wanakah, NY R+9
- Harmonsburg, PA R+41
- Sunfish Lake, MN D+12
- Juliustown, NJ R+21
- Le Raysville, PA R+61
- Graphite, NC R+10
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.