Patrick leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 29% of adults in Patrick typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Patrick, ~16% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Patrick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Patrick leans more Democratic than 47 of 60 neighbors.
Patrick runs about 25 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Patrick is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Patrick. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Patrick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Patrick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Patrick hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Patrick have never been married, in the top fraction of cities. Patrick runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Patrick, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Patrick looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Patrick is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Patrick rent, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wilmer, TX D+15
- India, TX R+41
- Kleberg, TX D+21
- Ferris, TX R+27
- Hutchins, TX D+35
- Seagoville, TX Even
- Combine, TX R+66
- Lancaster, TX D+61
- Balch Springs, TX D+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Max, MN R+21
- Ettersburg, CA D+13
- Millville, IA R+49
- East Thermopolis, WY R+69
- Duncans Bridge, MO R+71
- Lone Elm, MO R+62
- Geyser, MT R+63
- Lago, ID R+75
- Herod, GA D+3
- Shallmar, MD R+67
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.