Wilmer, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Wilmer

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Wilmer leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 31% of adults in Wilmer typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wilmer, ~18% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Wilmer compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Wilmer leans more Democratic than 48 of 61 neighbors.

Wilmer runs about 29 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Wilmer is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Wilmer leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wilmer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 31% of residents in Wilmer live in densely developed areas, above 81% of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Wilmer have never been married, above 91% of cities. Wilmer runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Wilmer, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Wilmer looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wilmer is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Wilmer rent, above 89% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 60% of adults in Wilmer have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.