Pavonia is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Pavonia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pavonia, ~20% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pavonia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pavonia leans more Republican than 18 of 86 neighbors.
Pavonia runs about 41 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pavonia. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Pavonia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pavonia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Pavonia drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pavonia, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pavonia looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Pavonia own their home, about 14 points above the Ohio average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Pavonia have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Epworth, OH R+61
- Paradise Hill, OH R+54
- Mifflin, OH R+58
- Olivesburg, OH R+61
- Ashland, OH R+41
- Amoy, OH R+57
- Mansfield, OH R+14
- Widowville, OH R+61
- Lucas, OH R+53
- Bailey Lakes, OH R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stony Fork, PA R+56
- Trommald, MN R+37
- Erbacon, WV R+69
- Wikieup, AZ R+53
- Elora, PA R+54
- Whiteface, NY D+19
- Gap Mills, WV R+64
- Wilkinson, WV R+58
- Del Sur, CA R+33
- Saunders, WV R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.