Paw Paw Lake leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Paw Paw Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paw Paw Lake, ~32% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paw Paw Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paw Paw Lake leans more Republican than 38 of 59 neighbors.
Paw Paw Lake runs about 27 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Paw Paw Lake leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Paw Paw Lake. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paw Paw Lake, MI sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Paw Paw Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Paw Paw Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 64% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coloma, MI R+22
- Watervliet, MI R+24
- Toquin, MI R+23
- Covert, MI Even
- Lake Michigan Beach, MI R+26
- Hartford, MI R+26
- Palisades Park, MI R+5
- McDonald, MI R+35
- Twelve Corners, MI R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bradley, MI R+38
- Luther, IA R+33
- Brule, WI R+9
- Fulton, WI R+19
- Decatur, NE R+61
- Fayville, MA D+31
- Brookside, OH R+40
- Morral, OH R+61
- Falls Mills, VA R+48
- Meadland, WV R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.