Hartford leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Hartford typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartford, ~24% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hartford leans more Republican than 32 of 66 neighbors.
Hartford runs about 25 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hartford. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hartford votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, above 82% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hartford sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 94% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hartford, MI sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hartford looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hartford is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Toquin, MI R+23
- McDonald, MI R+35
- Watervliet, MI R+24
- Keeler, MI R+27
- Paw Paw Lake, MI R+28
- Lawrence, MI R+28
- Coloma, MI R+22
- Bangor, MI R+19
- Covert, MI Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Granville, NY R+36
- Sunset, UT R+20
- Jonesville, NC R+49
- Watseka, IL R+32
- Sansom Park, TX R+9
- Upland, IN R+34
- Progreso, TX R+7
- Linden, VA R+33
- Thornwood, NY R+10
- Sisseton, SD Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.