Payne Springs is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Payne Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Payne Springs, ~13% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Payne Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Payne Springs leans more Republican than 20 of 56 neighbors.
Payne Springs runs about 52 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Payne Springs. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Payne Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Payne Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Payne Springs votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Payne Springs, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Payne Springs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Payne Springs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Enchanted Oaks, TX R+65
- Mabank, TX R+65
- Gun Barrel City, TX R+60
- Pauline, TX R+69
- Eustace, TX R+78
- Tool, TX R+69
- Log Cabin, TX R+63
- Caney City, TX R+64
- Trinidad, TX R+66
- Star Harbor, TX R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Patoka, IL R+63
- Summersville, KY R+72
- Fair Oaks, IN R+59
- St. Paul, KS R+62
- Williamsburg, NM R+21
- Cokesbury, NC R+49
- Portage, OH R+41
- Pavillion, WY R+80
- Floral Park, MT R+21
- Campton, GA R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.