Phelps leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Phelps typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Phelps, ~15% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Phelps compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Phelps leans more Republican than 5 of 23 neighbors.
Phelps runs about 33 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Phelps. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Phelps leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Phelps. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Phelps, TX does.
Why turnout in Phelps looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Phelps is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Phelps have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dodge, TX R+56
- Huntsville, TX R+13
- Oakhurst, TX R+57
- Pine Prairie, TX R+53
- Maynard, TX R+62
- New Waverly, TX R+60
- Riverside, TX R+26
- Point Blank, TX R+57
- Stephen Creek, TX R+63
- Willow Springs, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Camp Point, IL R+67
- Quilcene, WA D+15
- Rich Hill, MO R+58
- Honea, TX R+67
- Half Moon, FL R+39
- Palestine, IL R+51
- Whittemore, MI R+45
- Dubois, WY R+52
- McConnells, SC R+60
- Greenbackville, VA R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.