Half Moon leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Half Moon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Half Moon, ~23% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Half Moon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Half Moon leans more Republican than 14 of 32 neighbors.
Half Moon runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Half Moon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Half Moon leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Half Moon. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Half Moon, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Half Moon looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Half Moon is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Archer, FL R+19
- Newberry, FL R+16
- Peach Orchard, FL R+4
- Bronson, FL R+57
- East Bronson, FL R+46
- Raleigh, FL R+39
- Forest Grove, FL R+36
- Trenton, FL R+66
- Gainesville, FL D+33
- Williston, FL R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rich Hill, MO R+58
- Camp Point, IL R+67
- Honea, TX R+67
- Quilcene, WA D+15
- Phelps, TX R+47
- Whittemore, MI R+45
- Fayette City, PA R+41
- Pleasant Lake, IN R+51
- Dubois, WY R+52
- East Quincy, CA R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.