Plumbrook leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Plumbrook typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Plumbrook, ~19% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Plumbrook compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Plumbrook leans more Republican than 32 of 56 neighbors.
Plumbrook runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Plumbrook is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Plumbrook leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Plumbrook, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 95% of residents in Plumbrook drive to work alone, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Plumbrook fits that profile on both counts. Plumbrook runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Plumbrook, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Plumbrook looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 8% of homes in Plumbrook have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Plumbrook have completed high school, below 77% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Massena Springs, NY R+27
- Norfolk, NY R+29
- Raymondville, NY R+31
- Massena, NY R+13
- Brasher Falls, NY R+36
- North Stockholm, NY R+32
- Stockholm Center, NY R+34
- Massena Center, NY R+24
- Tucker Terrace, NY R+28
- Winthrop, NY R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dexter, NC Even
- Karnak, IL R+62
- West Sound, WA D+64
- Bosky Dell, MO R+67
- Thorn, MS R+55
- Shiawasseetown, MI R+40
- Centerville, VA D+3
- Ray Brook, NY D+16
- Denmark, TN D+3
- Sycamore, FL R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.