Norfolk leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Norfolk typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Norfolk, ~24% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Norfolk compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Norfolk leans more Republican than 31 of 55 neighbors.
Norfolk runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Norfolk is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Norfolk leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Norfolk, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Norfolk drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Norfolk runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Norfolk, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Norfolk looks the way it does
Turnout in Norfolk sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Raymondville, NY R+31
- Yaleville, NY R+26
- North Stockholm, NY R+32
- Chase Mills, NY R+26
- Plumbrook, NY R+31
- Norwood, NY R+24
- Massena Springs, NY R+27
- Sandfordville, NY R+34
- Stockholm Center, NY R+34
- Tucker Terrace, NY R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Valley Head, AL R+73
- Anderson, AL R+79
- Lake Park, MN R+35
- Luckey, OH R+35
- Dale Summit, PA D+32
- Ferndale, CA D+6
- Mardela Springs, MD R+32
- Cornell, WI R+43
- Caddo, OK R+67
- Eatonville, FL D+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.