Ponca is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Ponca typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponca, ~16% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponca compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponca leans more Republican than 5 of 56 neighbors.
Ponca runs about 24 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Ponca leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponca, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Ponca live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Ponca, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ponca looks the way it does
Turnout in Ponca sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stoverville, AR R+52
- Murray, AR R+61
- Kingston, AR R+64
- Mossville, AR R+55
- George, AR R+59
- Mount Sherman, AR R+57
- Weathers, AR R+64
- Parthenon, AR R+56
- Compton, AR R+57
- Wayton, AR R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caledonia, ND R+39
- Radnor, IN R+59
- Weston, ME R+45
- Cowles, NE R+71
- Danburg, GA R+43
- Winona, AZ R+5
- Dudley, WI R+40
- Dry Pond, GA R+70
- Dorrance, KS R+71
- Elliston, IN R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.