Caledonia leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Caledonia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caledonia, ~22% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caledonia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caledonia leans more Republican than 9 of 25 neighbors.
Politically, Caledonia sits close to the rest of North Dakota.
Why Caledonia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caledonia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Caledonia drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Caledonia are family households, above 95% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Caledonia, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Caledonia looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Caledonia is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Caledonia own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Caledonia have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shelly, MN R+42
- Taft, ND R+39
- Hillsboro, ND R+36
- Nielsville, MN R+56
- Halstad, MN R+42
- Cummings, ND R+39
- Kelso, ND R+38
- Buxton, ND R+41
- Climax, MN R+55
- Hendrum, MN R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Heart, AR R+64
- Chandlers Chapel, KY R+63
- Chase, IN R+54
- Kennedy Mill, PA R+49
- Geneva, AR R+72
- Old Niota, IL R+44
- Nashua, MN R+52
- Yarbro, AR R+22
- Elliston, IN R+52
- Weston, ME R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.