Sam Rayburn is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Sam Rayburn typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sam Rayburn, ~12% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sam Rayburn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sam Rayburn leans more Republican than 14 of 27 neighbors.
Sam Rayburn runs about 55 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Sam Rayburn leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Sam Rayburn. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sam Rayburn, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sam Rayburn looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Sam Rayburn have completed high school, about 11 points above the Texas average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brookeland, TX R+77
- Browndell, TX R+70
- Erin, TX R+48
- Harrisburg, TX R+58
- McElroy, TX R+80
- Curtis, TX R+49
- Jasper, TX R+17
- Holly Springs, TX R+37
- Pineland, TX R+82
- Mattox, TX R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pine Tree Corners, DE R+11
- Marshville, NY R+43
- Turkey Hill Shores, MA Even
- Shiloh Hill, IL R+60
- Showell, MD R+28
- Rollo, IL R+42
- Morris, WV R+59
- Wickersham, WA R+4
- Brewstertown, TN R+70
- Mount View, TN R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.