San Pablo leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 63% of adults in San Pablo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Pablo, ~41% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Pablo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Pablo leans more Democratic than 7 of 13 neighbors.
San Pablo runs about 19 points more Democratic than Colorado as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within San Pablo. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 41 points.
Why San Pablo leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in San Pablo. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; San Pablo, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in San Pablo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. San Pablo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 10 points above the Colorado average of 11%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chama, CO D+32
- Los Fuertes, CO D+33
- San Pedro, CO D+33
- San Luis, CO D+41
- Viejo San Acacio, CO D+33
- San Acacio, CO D+28
- Costilla, NM D+26
- Fort Garland, CO D+3
- Jaroso, CO D+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Allentown, FL R+74
- Red Apple Orchard, VA R+38
- Hammonton, CA R+30
- Clifton Mills, KY R+58
- Perdueville, IL R+58
- Melder, LA R+82
- Metal, PA R+72
- Michaux, VA R+25
- Owassa, AL R+21
- Tuttle, AR R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.