Santa Rosa is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Santa Rosa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Santa Rosa, ~32% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Santa Rosa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Santa Rosa sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 5 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Santa Rosa runs about 6 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Santa Rosa leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Santa Rosa. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Santa Rosa, NM sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Santa Rosa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Santa Rosa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 7 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pintada, NM R+3
- Puerto De Luna, NM R+5
- Pastura, NM R+5
- La Loma, NM Even
- Upper Dilia, NM D+5
- Garita, NM R+15
- Anton Chico, NM D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shawsville, VA R+48
- Burlington, ND R+64
- Orrstown, PA R+65
- Rice, VA R+12
- Climax, MI R+33
- Krebs, OK R+55
- Hampton, FL R+72
- Grand Point, LA R+59
- Bovey, MN R+28
- McBean, GA R+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.