Selma is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Selma typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Selma, ~32% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Selma compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Selma leans more Republican than 12 of 46 neighbors.
Selma runs about 9 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Selma. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Selma leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Selma. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Selma, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Selma looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Selma is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Universal City, TX R+2
- Live Oak, TX D+5
- Schertz, TX R+10
- Garden Ridge, TX R+34
- Randolph AFB, TX R+6
- Cibolo, TX R+11
- Converse, TX D+17
- Windcrest, TX D+4
- Santa Clara, TX R+41
- Kirby, TX D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilton Manors, FL D+22
- Mohnton, PA R+28
- East Hanover, NJ R+32
- Rockwell, NC R+60
- Rossville, MD D+45
- Sunland Park, NM D+13
- View Park-Windsor Hills, CA D+84
- Kodiak, AK R+17
- Ringwood, NJ R+14
- Crystal Lake, FL R+11
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.